Abstract
The identification of hydrological drought at global scale has received considerable attention during the last decade. However, climate-induced variation in runoff across the world makes such analyses rather complicated. This especially holds for the drier regions of the world (both cold and warm), where, for a considerable period of time, zero runoff can be observed. In the current paper, we present a method that enables to identify drought at global scale across climate regimes in a consistent manner. The method combines the characteristics of the classical variable threshold level method that is best applicable in regions with non-zero runoff most of the time, and the consecutive dry days (period) method that is better suited for areas where zero runoff occurs. The newly presented method allows a drought in periods with runoff to continue in the following period without runoff. The method is demonstrated by identifying droughts from discharge observations of four rivers situated within different climate regimes, as well as from simulated runoff data at global scale obtained from an ensemble of five different land surface models. The identified drought events obtained by the new approach are compared to those resulting from application of the variable threshold level method or the consecutive dry period method separately. Results show that, in general, for drier regions, the threshold level method overestimates drought duration, because zero runoff periods are included in a drought, according to the definition used within this method. The consecutive dry period method underestimates drought occurrence, since it cannot identify droughts for periods with runoff. The developed method especially shows its relevance in transitional areas, because, in wetter regions, results are identical to the classical threshold level method. By combining both methods, the new method is able to identify single drought events that occur during positive and zero runoff periods, leading to a more realistic global drought characterization, especially within drier environments.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 2437-2451 |
| Number of pages | 15 |
| Journal | Hydrology and Earth System Sciences |
| Volume | 16 |
| Issue number | 8 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - 2012 |
Funding
The authors wish to acknowledge all modellers for supplying the results of the LSMs: Natalie Bertrand (Orchidee), Douglas Clark (JULES), Sandra Gomes (HTESSEL), Naota Hanasaki (H08) and Sujan Koirala (MATSIRO). The authors also want to thank the Global Runoff Data Centre (56068 Koblenz, Germany) for providing the observed discharge data. Furthermore, the authors thank Graham Weedon (UK MetOffice) for supplying the WATCH forcing data. This research has been financially supported by the EU-FP6 Project WATCH (contract 036946), the EU-FP7 Project IMPRINTS (FP7-ENV-2008-1-226555) and the EU-FP7 Project DROUGHT-R&SPI (contract 282769). This research is part of the programme of the Wageningen Institute for Environment and Climate Research (WIMEK-SENSE) and it supports the work of the EURO-FRIEND programme.
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 15 Life on Land
Keywords
- environment simulator jules
- conterminous United-States
- soil-moisture
- model description
- multimodel ensemble
- land-surface
- 20th-century
- precipitation
- temperature
- definition
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