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Automated Valuation Services: A case study for Aberdeen in Scotland

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    Abstract

    Automated valuation services (AVSs) offered by listings platforms predict market values based on property characteristics supplied by users. We investigate the implementation of such a service for the City of Aberdeen. We fit different market value models with machine learning methods and assess them in a rolling windows procedure that mimics an AVS setting. We also investigate the ease and robustness with which the models can be implemented. We discuss how prediction uncertainty can be measured and reported to users. If implemented in the future, such a service has the potential to improve the transparency of the local housing market.
    Original languageEnglish
    Pages (from-to)154-172
    Number of pages20
    JournalJournal of Property Research
    Volume38
    Issue number2
    Early online date1 Mar 2021
    DOIs
    Publication statusPublished - 2021

    Bibliographical note

    Acknowledgements:
    We are grateful to the three anonymous referees and the editor of the journal
    for suggestions and comments that helped to improve the paper. We thank
    seminar participants at the Technische Universit¨at Berlin, Fiona Stoddard,
    and Verity Watson for helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.

    UN SDGs

    This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

    1. SDG 11 - Sustainable Cities and Communities
      SDG 11 Sustainable Cities and Communities

    Keywords

    • housing market
    • machine learning

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