Covid-19 Case-Fatality Risk & Infection-Fatality Risk : – important measures to help guide the pandemic response

Jennifer Summers, Michael Baker, Nick Wilson

Research output: Contribution to specialist publicationArticle

Abstract

In this blog we explore two useful mortality indicators: Case-Fatality Risk (CFR) and Infection-Fatality Risk (IFR). We estimate the cumulative CFR in Aotearoa New Zealand (NZ) to be around 0.08%, which is lower than other jurisdictions who have used elimination approaches in the past, such as Australia, Singapore, Taiwan and Hong Kong. The cumulative number of Covid-19 infections in NZ is not known, but if we assume it is ~50%, the IFR would sit at ~0.03%. We recommend that the NZ Government improve Covid-19 surveillance in order to improve estimates of CFR, IFR and other key indicators to help guide future decisions around control measures.
Original languageEnglish
Specialist publicationThe Public Health Expert Briefing
Publication statusPublished - 11 May 2022
Externally publishedYes

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