Efficient response modelling for performance characterisation and risk assessment of ship-iceberg collisions

Abayomi Obisesan, Srinivas Sriramula

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

22 Citations (Scopus)
13 Downloads (Pure)


Unique features of the Arctic region, such as sub-zero temperatures and glacial activities, pose serious risk to ships. The potential for ship accidents requires tailored guidelines for ship-ice interactions which justify the need for a suitable performance and risk assessment model for ships navigating in the Arctic waters. Research on the development of such model is currently limited. In this paper, a conceptual framework is proposed for performance characterisation and quantitative risk assessment of ships in iceberg collisions. The framework focusses on the components required for asset risk computation, such as probabilistic performance measures and ship-iceberg collision probability. The computationally intensive ship-iceberg collision models are captured by efficient surrogate models in performance estimation, while the basic events are linked by a fault tree representation to identify collision probability. The interaction between a double-hull oil tanker and a spherical iceberg is chosen as the reference collision scenario to demonstrate the applicability of the framework. The crushable foam plasticity model for the iceberg material is validated and the response computations are performed using the non-linear finite element software Abaqus®. The presented computation model underlines the significance of different risk components, providing valuable guidance for improving risk-based ship designs.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)127-141
Number of pages15
JournalApplied Ocean Research
Early online date12 Mar 2018
Publication statusPublished - May 2018

Bibliographical note

The authors are grateful for the support provided through the Lloyd’s Register Foundation Centre. The Foundation helps to protect life and property by supporting engineering-related education, public engagement and the application of research.


  • ship collision
  • structural reliability
  • risk assessment
  • iceberg impact
  • hull damage
  • numerical simulation


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