Failures of quarantine systems for preventing COVID-19 outbreaks in Australia and New Zealand

Leah Grout* (Corresponding Author), Ameera Katar, Driss Ait Ouakrim, Jennifer A. Summers, Amanda Kvalsvig, Michael G. Baker, Tony Blakely, Nick Wilson

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

42 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

Objectives: To identify COVID-19 quarantine system failures in Australia and New Zealand.

Design, setting, participants: Observational epidemiological study of travellers in managed quarantine in Australia and New Zealand, to 15 June 2021.

Main outcome measures: Number of quarantine system failures, and failure with respect to numbers of travellers and SARS-CoV-2-positive travellers.

Results: We identified 22 quarantine system failures in Australia and ten in New Zealand to 15 June 2021. One failure initiated a COVID-19 outbreak that caused more than 800 deaths (the Victorian "second wave"); nine lockdowns were linked with quarantine system failures. The failure risk was estimated to be 5.0 failures per 100 000 travellers passing through quarantine and 6.1 (95% CI, 4.0-8.3) failures per 1000 SARS-CoV-2-positive travellers. The risk per 1000 SARS-CoV-2-positive travellers was higher in New Zealand than Australia (relative risk, 2.0; 95% CI, 1.0-4.2).

Conclusions: Quarantine system failures can be costly in terms of lives and economic impact, including lockdowns. Our findings indicate that infection control in quarantine systems in Australia and New Zealand should be improved, including vaccination of quarantine workers and incoming travellers, or that alternatives to hotel-based quarantine should be developed.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)320-324
Number of pages5
JournalMedical Journal of Australia
Volume215
Issue number7
Early online date1 Sept 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Oct 2021
Externally publishedYes

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