One year to go: Scottish vote that will shape Britain's future

Michael Keating

Research output: Contribution to specialist publicationArticle


A year away from the Scottish referendum, we have opinion polls almost weekly, as the media tries to discern the rise and fall in the standings of the rival teams. Yet the most striking fact is the stability in public opinion. For the past 20 years, support for independence has been around 30% and all the argument over the past two years appears to have made little difference.

Such fluctuations as the media find are mostly due to the precise wording of the question (although we now have the actual question, which is usually used); random error; and the context in which the question is posed.
Original languageEnglish
Specialist publicationThe Conversation
PublisherThe Conversation UK
Publication statusPublished - 18 Sept 2013

Bibliographical note

Michael Keating receives funding from the Economic and Social Research Council.


  • Scottish parliament
  • Scottish independence
  • Scotland


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