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Prevalence of multimorbidity and its association with outcomes in older emergency general surgical patients: an observational study

  • Jonathan Hewitt
  • , Caroline McCormack
  • , Hui Sian Tay
  • , Matthew Greig
  • , Jennifer Law
  • , Adam Tay
  • , Nurwasimah Hj Asnan
  • , Ben Carter
  • , Phyo Kyaw Myint
  • , Lyndsay Pearce
  • , Susan J. Moug
  • , Kathryn McCarthy
  • , Michael J. Stechman
  • Cardiff University
  • Aberdeen Royal Infirmary
  • Manchester Royal Infirmary
  • Royal Alexandra Hospital, Paisley
  • North Bristol NHS Trust
  • University Hospital of Wales

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

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Abstract

OBJECTIVES: Multimorbidity is the presence of 2 or more medical conditions. This increasingly used assessment has not been assessed in a surgical population. The objectives of this study were to assess the prevalence of multimorbidity and its association with common outcome measures.

DESIGN: A cross-sectional observational study.

SETTING: A UK-based multicentre study, included participants between July and October 2014.

PARTICIPANTS: Consecutive emergency (non-elective) general surgical patients admitted to hospital, aged over 65 years.

OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome measures were (1) the prevalence of multimorbidity and (2) the association between multimorbidity and frailty; the rate and severity of surgery; length of hospital stay; readmission to hospital within 30 days of discharge; and death at 30 and 90 days.

RESULTS: Data were collected on 413 participants aged 65-98 years (median 77 years, (IQR (70-84)). 51.6% (212/413) participants were women. Multimorbidity was present in 74% (95% CI 69.7% to 78.2%) of the population and increased with age (p<0.0001). Multimorbidity was associated with increasing frailty (p for trend <0.0001). People with multimorbidity underwent surgery as often as those without multimorbidity, including major surgery (p=0.03). When comparing multimorbid people with those without multimorbidity, we found no association between length of hospital stay (median 5 days, IQR (1-54), vs 6 days (1-47), (p=0.66)), readmission to hospital (64 (21.1%) vs 18 (16.8%) (p=0.35)), death at 30 days (14 (4.6%) vs 6 (5.6%) (p=0.68)) or 90-day mortality (28 (9.2%) vs 8 (7.6%) (p=0.60)).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS: Multimorbidity is common. Nearly three-quarters of this older emergency general surgical population had 2 or more chronic medical conditions. It was strongly associated with age and frailty, and was not a barrier to surgical intervention. Multimorbidity showed no associations across a range of outcome measures, as it is currently defined. Multimorbidity should not be relied on as a useful clinical tool in guidelines or policies for older emergency surgical patients.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere010126
Pages (from-to)1-7
Number of pages7
JournalBMJ Open
Volume6
Issue number3
Early online date31 Mar 2016
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Mar 2016

Bibliographical note

Funding: This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.

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