Sustainable agriculture creates management trade-offs, not conflicts, between crop productivity and soil carbon storage goals

  • David G Encarnation* (Corresponding Author)
  • , Robert S. Powell
  • , Pete Smith
  • , Adam F. A. Pellegrini
  • *Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Accelerating climate change and increasing food insecurity necessitates agricultural management that simultaneously mitigates climate change and increases food production. We evaluated when and where sustainable agriculture creates win-wins or trade-offs between food production and soil carbon sequestration across four crop types and four broad management changes. We conducted a global meta-analysis of 2,975 paired yield and topsoil carbon (and 498 subsoil) observations from 510 publications to assess the simultaneous impacts of reduced tillage, cover cropping, complex crop rotations, and crop residue retention on maize, wheat, rice, and soybean yields and soil organic carbon stocks. Strong coupling between crop yield and soil carbon gains occurred in only 18.1% of observations, but significant gains in either outcome occurred in 55.6%. Environmental conditions mattered across all practices and crop types: win-wins were most likely in marginal agricultural lands characterized by warmer temperatures, water limitation, and low nitrogen application rates – conditions that represent a substantial proportion of global agricultural land area. By considering the interactions between crop types and multiple practices thought to bolster soil carbon stocks and crop yields, we conclude that the optimal practice for maximizing the yield response is not always the same as the optimal practice for maximizing the soil carbon response. This generates management trade-offs not via declines in either yields or soil carbon, but rather in determining the optimal practice selection for a given crop in a given area.
Original languageEnglish
JournalScience of the Total Environment
Publication statusAccepted/In press - 19 Jan 2026

Bibliographical note

We thank all authors of the manuscripts that formed the basis of our meta-analysis. Juliana Kohli, Johanna Schoenecker, Martin Baur, Courtney Currier, and Sarayu Manoj also provided input on the manuscript and data analyses.

Data Availability Statement

Data were collected from published materials that are freely accessible. Please see Table S3 for sources of spatial datasets used in our study. All the empirical data that support the main findings of this study as well as the R code used in the analyses presented in this paper will be made available in GitHub following acceptance and can be accessed at https://github.com/davidencarnation/sustainable_ag_SOC_yield_meta_analysis

Funding

Funding via UKRI grant EP/X042863/1 to AP.

Keywords

  • climate change
  • food security
  • meta-analysis
  • sequestration
  • soil carbon
  • sustainable agriculture
  • yields

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