The nonlinear multi-variable grey Bernoulli model and its applications

Qingping He, Xin Ma* (Corresponding Author), Lanxi Zhang, Wanpeng Li, Tianzi Li

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

This work uses the vector-valued Bernoulli equation to build a nonlinear multi-variable grey Bernoulli model, which is available to describe the nonlinear relationship between the output variables. By using Pade´ approximation, the proposed model can be implemented with high time efficiency. Additionally, the Sine Cosine Algorithm is employed to determine the Bernoulli exponent, thereby enhancing prediction accuracy. To evaluate the predictive performance of the proposed model, three case studies using three real-world data sets with different features of predicting per capita household income, fuel prices and crude oil prices are carried out. The results are compared with three existing grey multi-input multi-output models. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model excels in handling nonlinear relationships between variables and has strong robustness against noise, consistently delivering lower error values, demonstrating superior predictive performance.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)635-655
Number of pages21
JournalApplied Mathematical Modelling
Volume134
Early online date26 Jun 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Oct 2024

Data Availability Statement

All data have been presented in the main content.

Keywords

  • Crude oil prices
  • Fuel prices
  • Nonlinear multi-variable grey Bernoulli model
  • Per capita household income
  • Sine Cosine Algorithm

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