Abstract
Pipeline corrosion defects mostly appear in a colony such that they interact to reduce the failure pressure, which is not defined by features of a single corrosion defect. The huge amount of corrosion defects captured by in-line inspection tools including the variability of defect profile in pipelines and the dependence of the reliability assessment on such data pose significant
research challenges in performance assurance. This highlights the need for computationally efficient modelling schemes to estimate the burst pressure of pipelines affected by both longitudinal and circumferential interacting corrosion defects. In the present paper, a novel approach is proposed for this purpose by combining supervised machine learning methods with 25 numerical models of corroded pipelines, validated with experimental results available from
literature. Additionally, six improved composite defect shapes are proposed, resulting in 150 models to examine the non-linear behaviour of interacting corrosion defects by capturing the real the defect profiles captured by the In-line Inspection tools. The predicted failure pressures from the developed numerical models produced an absolute mean deviation of not exceeding 2.03% and 2.2% from the experimental burst pressure and the modified Mixed Type Interaction
approach respectively, better than published results from the literature. Notably, the predicted failure pressures based on real pipeline data, infused with the generated artificial neural networks and non-linear regression models provide a total mean deviation of 3.1% and 7.3% respectively, thereby providing a path for effective maintenance planning.
research challenges in performance assurance. This highlights the need for computationally efficient modelling schemes to estimate the burst pressure of pipelines affected by both longitudinal and circumferential interacting corrosion defects. In the present paper, a novel approach is proposed for this purpose by combining supervised machine learning methods with 25 numerical models of corroded pipelines, validated with experimental results available from
literature. Additionally, six improved composite defect shapes are proposed, resulting in 150 models to examine the non-linear behaviour of interacting corrosion defects by capturing the real the defect profiles captured by the In-line Inspection tools. The predicted failure pressures from the developed numerical models produced an absolute mean deviation of not exceeding 2.03% and 2.2% from the experimental burst pressure and the modified Mixed Type Interaction
approach respectively, better than published results from the literature. Notably, the predicted failure pressures based on real pipeline data, infused with the generated artificial neural networks and non-linear regression models provide a total mean deviation of 3.1% and 7.3% respectively, thereby providing a path for effective maintenance planning.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 105176 |
Number of pages | 14 |
Journal | Journal of Loss Prevention in the Process Industries |
Volume | 85 |
Early online date | 22 Sept 2023 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Oct 2023 |
Bibliographical note
AcknowledgmentsThe first author would like to thank the Ghana National Petroleum Corporation (GNPC) Foundation for funding the PhD studies at the University of Aberdeen. The first author also acknowledges the research support from Net Zero Technology Centre and University of Aberdeen through their partnership in the UK National Decommissioning Centre.
Data Availability Statement
The authors do not have permission to share data.Keywords
- pipeline burst pressure
- interacting corrosion clusters
- improved corrosion defect shapes
- finite element methods
- supervised machine learning