Forecasting short-term solar energy generation in Asia Pacific using a nonlinear grey Bernoulli model with time power term

Wenqing Wu, Xin Ma, Bo Zeng, Yuanyuan Zhang, Wanpeng Li

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Solar energy as one type of renewable energy is the cleanest and most abundant energy source available. It is mainly used for photovoltaics, solar heating and cooling, and solar power generation. With the crisis of energy and environment, the solar energy generation is becoming a research hotspot in clean energy production. In this paper, the solar energy generation in Asia Pacific including Australia, South Korea, China, Japan and India are studied by a new nonlinear univariate grey Bernoulli model with time power term. Analytical solution of the model is derived by the grey technique, the theory of ordinary differential equations and the two-point Gauss quadrature rule of integration. And the nonlinear parameters are determined by the grey wolf optimizer and the linearized form of the new model. According to historical data from 2011 to 2018 stated by British Petroleum, forecasting models are built to calculate the solar energy generation of the five countries from 2019 to 2023.
Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)759-783
Number of pages24
JournalEnergy & Environment
Volume32
Issue number5
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Aug 2021
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Funding
The author(s) disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.71901184, 71771033, 71571157), the Humanities and Social Science Project of Ministry of Education of China (No.19YJCZH119), the National Statistical Scientific Research Project (No.2018LY42), the funding of Research center of Sichuan County Economy Development (No.xy2020042), the funding of V.C. & V.R. Key Lab of Sichuan Province (SCVCVR2019.05VS), and the Open Fund (PLN 201710) of State Key Laboratory of Oil and Gas Reservoir Geology and Exploitation (Southwest Petroleum University).

Fingerprint

Dive into the research topics of 'Forecasting short-term solar energy generation in Asia Pacific using a nonlinear grey Bernoulli model with time power term'. Together they form a unique fingerprint.

Cite this