TY - JOUR
T1 - Mechanisms, detection and impacts of species redistributions under climate change
AU - Lawlor, Jake A.
AU - Comte, Lise
AU - Grenouillet, Gaël
AU - Lenoir, Jonathan
AU - Baecher, J. Alex
AU - Bandara, R.M.W.J.
AU - Bertrand, Romain
AU - Chen, I-Ching
AU - Diamond, Sarah E.
AU - Lancaster, Lesley T.
AU - Moore, Nikki
AU - Murienne, Jerome
AU - Oliveira, Brunno F.
AU - Pecl, Gretta T.
AU - Pinsky, Malin L.
AU - Rolland, Jonathan
AU - Rubenstein, Madeleine
AU - Scheffers, Brett R.
AU - Thompson, Laura M.
AU - van Amerom, Brit
AU - Villalobos, Fabricio
AU - Weiskopf, Sarah R.
AU - Sunday, Jennifer
N1 - Acknowledgements
This research is a product of the BIOSHIFTS group funded by the Centre for the Synthesis and Analysis of Biodiversity (CESAB), a key program of the French Foundation for Research on Biodiversity (FRB; www.fondationbiodiversite.fr). J.R. received funding from the Agence Nationale de la Recherche (CEBA: ANR-10-LABX-25– 01; TULIP: ANR-10-LABX-0041, JCJC: ANR-23-CE02-0005-01).
PY - 2024/4/18
Y1 - 2024/4/18
N2 - Shifts in species distributions are a common ecological response to climate change, and global temperature rise is often hypothesized as the primary driver. However, the directions and rates of distribution shifts are highly variable across species, systems, and studies, complicating efforts to manage and anticipate biodiversity responses to anthropogenic change. In this Review, we summarize approaches to documenting species range shifts, discuss why observed range shifts often do not match our expectations, and explore the impacts of species range shifts on nature and society. The majority (59%) of documented range shifts are directionally consistent with climate change, based on the BioShifts database of range shift observations. However, many observed species have not shifted or have shifted in directions opposite to temperature-based expectations. These lagging or expectation-contrary shifts might be explained by additional biotic or abiotic factors driving range shifts, including additional non-temperature climatic drivers, habitat characteristics, and species interactions, which are not normally considered in range shift documentations. Understanding and managing range shifts will require increasing and connecting observational biological data, generalizing range shift patterns across systems, and predicting shifts at management-relevant timescales.
AB - Shifts in species distributions are a common ecological response to climate change, and global temperature rise is often hypothesized as the primary driver. However, the directions and rates of distribution shifts are highly variable across species, systems, and studies, complicating efforts to manage and anticipate biodiversity responses to anthropogenic change. In this Review, we summarize approaches to documenting species range shifts, discuss why observed range shifts often do not match our expectations, and explore the impacts of species range shifts on nature and society. The majority (59%) of documented range shifts are directionally consistent with climate change, based on the BioShifts database of range shift observations. However, many observed species have not shifted or have shifted in directions opposite to temperature-based expectations. These lagging or expectation-contrary shifts might be explained by additional biotic or abiotic factors driving range shifts, including additional non-temperature climatic drivers, habitat characteristics, and species interactions, which are not normally considered in range shift documentations. Understanding and managing range shifts will require increasing and connecting observational biological data, generalizing range shift patterns across systems, and predicting shifts at management-relevant timescales.
UR - https://rdcu.be/dE753
U2 - 10.1038/s43017-024-00527-z
DO - 10.1038/s43017-024-00527-z
M3 - Review article
SN - 2662-138X
JO - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
JF - Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
ER -