Abstract
Real estate research has a long and extensive history of analyzing space market dynamics. Nonetheless, two areas have been under researched. Regional panels of data have been rarely analyzed. Moreover, due to data constraints, the retail market has been studied much less than other market segments.
This paper addresses both of these topics through an analysis of Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) level panel data. Our study covers almost three decades of annual retail data for 11 of the largest MSAs of the United States. We estimate a long run rent model and use Error Correction Models for short run rent, vacancy and supply adjustments. We test for differences in local market behavior in both the long run equilibrium relationships and in the short run adjustment processes. We identify two groups of similar markets.
This paper addresses both of these topics through an analysis of Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) level panel data. Our study covers almost three decades of annual retail data for 11 of the largest MSAs of the United States. We estimate a long run rent model and use Error Correction Models for short run rent, vacancy and supply adjustments. We test for differences in local market behavior in both the long run equilibrium relationships and in the short run adjustment processes. We identify two groups of similar markets.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 659-687 |
Number of pages | 29 |
Journal | The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics |
Volume | 47 |
Issue number | 4 |
Early online date | 8 Jun 2013 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Nov 2013 |
Bibliographical note
The authors gratefully acknowledge the generous data support that was offered byCBRE Econometric Advisors (CBRE EA), formerly Torto Wheaton Research, in this project. An earlier version was presented at the Annual AREUEA 2010 Meetings. Joint Asian Real Estate Society and American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association International Conference, Korea
Keywords
- Retail space market
- Panel data
- Error correction model