Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021

Public Health Scotland and the EAVE II Collaborators

doi:10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00175-8

Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021

Public Health Scotland and the EAVE II Collaborators

Research output: Contribution to journal › Comment/debate › peer-review

30 Citations (Scopus)

Abstract

We previously reported on the speed with which the Delta variant of concern (VOC) took hold in Scotland. The Delta VOC has subsequently established itself in many other parts of the world and has emerged as the dominant strain internationally. Recent data have shown that the Delta VOC is more transmissible, associated with higher rates of hospitalisation than other variants, and that vaccines might be less effective in preventing infection than they are with the Alpha VOC. Consequently, there are concerns about the extent to which lockdown restrictions can safely be lifted, even in countries with high vaccination coverage...

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	e539-e541
Number of pages	3
Journal	The Lancet Digital Health
Volume	3
Issue number	9
Early online date	23 Aug 2021
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00175-8
Publication status	Published - Sept 2021

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
Our thanks to the Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) patient advisory group for their support. EAVE II is funded by the Medical Research Council ( MR/R008345/1 ) with the support of BREATHE - The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health [MC_PC_19004], which is funded through the UK Research and Innovation Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund and delivered through Health Data Research UK. Additional support has been provided through Public Health Scotland and Scottish Government DG Health and Social Care and the Data and Connectivity National Core Study, led by Health Data Research UK in partnership with the Office for National Statistics and funded by UK Research and Innovation. SVK is funded by a NHS Research Scotland Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/2), and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU17).

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10.1016/S2589-7500(21)00175-8Licence: CC BY-NC-ND

Shah_etal_Predicted_Covid-19_Positive_VOR
Copyright © 2021 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY-NC-ND 4.0 license.
Final published version, 221 KBLicence: CC BY-NC-ND

Cite this

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title = "Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021",

abstract = "We previously reported on the speed with which the Delta variant of concern (VOC) took hold in Scotland. The Delta VOC has subsequently established itself in many other parts of the world and has emerged as the dominant strain internationally. Recent data have shown that the Delta VOC is more transmissible, associated with higher rates of hospitalisation than other variants, and that vaccines might be less effective in preventing infection than they are with the Alpha VOC. Consequently, there are concerns about the extent to which lockdown restrictions can safely be lifted, even in countries with high vaccination coverage...",

author = "Shah, {Syed Ahmar} and Emily Moore and Chris Robertson and Jim McMenamin and Katikireddi, {Srinivasa Vittal} and Simpson, {Colin R.} and Ting Shi and Uktarsh Agrawal and Colin McCowan and Sarah Stock and Ritchie, {Lewis D.} and Aziz Sheikh and {Public Health Scotland and the EAVE II Collaborators}",

note = "Funding Information: Our thanks to the Early Pandemic Evaluation and Enhanced Surveillance of COVID-19 (EAVE II) patient advisory group for their support. EAVE II is funded by the Medical Research Council ( MR/R008345/1 ) with the support of BREATHE - The Health Data Research Hub for Respiratory Health [MC_PC_19004], which is funded through the UK Research and Innovation Industrial Strategy Challenge Fund and delivered through Health Data Research UK. Additional support has been provided through Public Health Scotland and Scottish Government DG Health and Social Care and the Data and Connectivity National Core Study, led by Health Data Research UK in partnership with the Office for National Statistics and funded by UK Research and Innovation. SVK is funded by a NHS Research Scotland Senior Clinical Fellowship (SCAF/15/02), the Medical Research Council (MC_UU_00022/2), and the Scottish Government Chief Scientist Office (SPHSU17). ",

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AU - Robertson, Chris

AU - McMenamin, Jim

AU - Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal

AU - Simpson, Colin R.

AU - Shi, Ting

AU - Agrawal, Uktarsh

AU - McCowan, Colin

AU - Stock, Sarah

AU - Ritchie, Lewis D.

AU - Sheikh, Aziz

AU - Public Health Scotland and the EAVE II Collaborators

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AB - We previously reported on the speed with which the Delta variant of concern (VOC) took hold in Scotland. The Delta VOC has subsequently established itself in many other parts of the world and has emerged as the dominant strain internationally. Recent data have shown that the Delta VOC is more transmissible, associated with higher rates of hospitalisation than other variants, and that vaccines might be less effective in preventing infection than they are with the Alpha VOC. Consequently, there are concerns about the extent to which lockdown restrictions can safely be lifted, even in countries with high vaccination coverage...

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Predicted COVID-19 positive cases, hospitalisations, and deaths associated with the Delta variant of concern, June–July, 2021

Abstract

Bibliographical note

UN SDGs

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